This blog post is one of those which takes work so has been a long time in the writing. It grew from a scolding I got for referring to the Global Warming RELIGION of the Luddites of the Looney Left. It was NOT a religion, it was science based and I ought to know how science works. I do, in fact, know "how science works" which is why I am and will remain sceptical of the arguments of both the alarmists and the deniers. I do not have to chose between Luther and Pope Leo X. Maybe I am an Erasmist?
Anyway, I will save the climate religion for another time and deal with the workings of scientific research. Qualifications, you ask? I have done scientific research; I have sat on boards that have funded scientific research and I have been a life long intermediary between scientific researchers and end users. So I know a little and can be corrected on much.
The modern scientific method is a result of combining the methodology of two men, Rene Descartes and Francis Bacon; a very nice summary of which can be found
here. (Note: One ought not to study Philosophy before studying Latin as one runs the danger of getting Descartes before the Horace. But I digress).
Scientists tend to work in one of three locations: private industry, universities and research institutes of all sizes, shapes and forms of governance. Scientists in the latter two may have more room for determining their research subjects than those in private industry and certainly have more leeway to publish their results.
Research takes money. A great deal of money. There are two kinds of money - hard money and soft money. Hard money is money that is in the budget year after year and usually covers things like buildings, laboratories and related overhead, salaries of key scientists. Soft money is related to research grants which must be applied for to some funding agency, usually on a competitive basis. Key scientists write grant applications which if successful pay for actual research projects including other scientists, special equipment and the cash costs of doing the research project.
Research funds are "highly constrained" for cash and successful scientists are those who can write successful applications; those that appeal to the priorities of the funding agency's decision makers. If one is applying to the Drug Enforcement Agency for money to do marijuana research, one does not title it "Determination of the benefits of smoking marijuana post coitus on male recovery time".
Scientific research is controlled financially and politically far more than most people realize. They are NOT free to pursue knowledge for knowledge sake. And if their results do not fit the agenda of the funding agency you can be certain they will not get funding from that source again. The scientist who got funding from the DEA to "Investigate the DANGERS of smoking marijuana etc." and publishes a paper concluding that in fact marijuana is the greatest thing since Viagra will never get again funding from either the DEA or Big Pharma, trust me.
So research is driven by money; money is driven by priorities; priorities are driven by ideology.
Research results must be repeatable. Therefore a publishable research paper must describe in sufficient detail how the research was done so that someone else can repeat it if desired or at least have no doubt as to how the results were arrived at and conclusions drawn. Thus the importance of peer-review prior to publishing.
A good scientist is a born sceptic. A good scientist will look at a research paper and blow it full of holes, pointing out all the things that weren't done, weren't accounted for , were overemphasized relative to the data, etc. The paper will be sent back for rewriting, eventually accepted and published. Or possibly rejected as poor science.
Research scientists are judged on the number of papers that are
published AND on the number of times those papers are referenced by
other scientists. So choosing a journal to publish in
is critical. Does the research fit the theme of the journal? If there
are several journals to choose from, which one has the best reputation
and is the most widely read? Who is the editor?
The editor holds the scientist's future in his hands as it is the editor who sends the paper for peer review and decides who are the peers who will review. So if the scientist who decides to publish the marijuana paper sends it to a journal whose editor is a graduate of Pat Roberston's University, they will find their paper sent for peer review to scientists who hold with the Pat Robertson worldview and that paper will be rejected as bad science. And if ALL the good (reputable, well read) journals are edited by Pat Robertson think-alikes, that scientist ain't gettin' published nowhere nohow!
Most non-scientists have never read a journal. Unless you have trouble sleeping, I wouldn't recommend it either. They bring a whole new meaning to boring. Most of us get our scientific information after it has been filtered. Direct from the scientist is great (conferences, magazines, internet sites) or from the mainstream media (the dreaded MSM) or from the alternative media which tends to be either Looney Left or Religious Right. The journalists are NOT specialists in the science in question so they can't ask the good questions and they ARE interested in sensationalizing what ever it is, so they take a minor point and blow it up for all it is worth..
So we have to trust third, fourth and fifth hand sources of scientific information without ever seeing the original work or most likely without ever seeing any critiques of the original work. So we blindly accept as "science" whatever agrees with our already preconceived notions and reject anything that does not. If you are one of the Anti-Food Luddites and you see an article announcing that coffee/pizza/Big Macs are bad for you, you seize on it for all you are worth, while I ignore that article and wait for next week's announcement that says coffee/pizza/Big Macs are good for you.
The distance between science and politics is very very thin. And anything that is the slightest controversial becomes instantly politicized, not necessarily by the scientists but by those of us reading about it third, fourth and fifth hand.
Here is a quote I pulled off the net a while back and for the life of me cannot find it again. I am guessing it is from comments on an article or articles but Google didn't help me at all.
Maybe, but by its nature, science and research are highly
dependent on soft money and highly constrained R&D programs. In other
words, the field of science is far more politically and financially controlled
than non-scientists realize.
Also, though highly regrettable, the average person is utterly incapable of
comprehending the scientist. The scientist makes a lifetime career of learning,
investigating and testing a thing (idea) where most laymen have never
concentrated more than a few minutes of real effort.
Lastly, the question of how and why things work is not a moral issue. Like
with a gun, morality is defined by what people do with it, and not inherently
by the thing itself.
Science is not an individual endeavour, it never was, but in
the age of big science, it is overwhelmingly directed by society in general,
NOT individual interest and search for truth. Money goes to areas that
increase power or make money, and scientists can find jobs in these areas.
They do what the system directs them to do. The result of their
research depends more on the amount of money invested than on individual
scientist. Overall, scientists absolutely can and should know who decides
what they're working on and why, because it is trivial and visible to them all
the time.
Scientists are exactly the same kind of people as anyone
else, apart from a tiny (and awesome) minority. They have the same
motivations, the same cognitive dissonances, the same thirst for money as
"normal" people. And while science in abstract theory is a
"noble pursuit", and was a noble pursuit for Giordano Bruno and
Galileo, working in Los Alamos is in no way noble.
Working as a Monsanto scientist is not noble. Working as a
psychologist for some big marketing firm, designing ways to manipulate
children, is not noble. Working as an anthropologist for the Army to
"map" "human terrain" is very, very far from noble.
And this is the kind of stuff a lot of (probably most) scientists are working
on: stuff that's very closely related to actual concrete power interests, not
on abstract search for truth. They can know what their research will lead to
but they pretend they don't. They're smart of course - but intelligence is very
useful in building protective mental barriers and managing cognitive
dissonance.
As you said, scientists are people just like the rest of us.
There really isn't any difference between knowledge and
belief. Anyone holding tightly to a belief, will believe that it is knowledge.
People lack knowledge today and can be convinced of
anything. The earth is 5000 years old, nuclear power is safe, fracking is not
destroying fresh water tables, etc... Next will come bad omens, superstitions
and witch burning. People in the Dark Ages wondered who built Roman ruins -
aliens maybe. People were afraid of the dark. We still live "The
Enlightenment" but it's getting dimmer as the masses get dumber.
Lots of interesting metaphor here, but it's probably not
that people are blind or deluded but merely ignorant. Ever since facts went out
of fashion, people have stopped knowing what to believe. They half-believe in
the supernatural, half-believe in the fictitious values of TV and movies,
half-believe in the news, half-believe in the virtue of human beings. They know
nothing beyond whether they feel good, and they are confirmed in their
self-absorption by every message they take in, whether in the form of
advertising, television, pedagogy or prayer. Ignorance of such magnitude has
destroyed stronger cultures than ours.